Will “Growth” be said 8+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Growth” was said 8+ times at the FOMC press conference on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2025 (50%), most recently on Mar 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (8+, named speaker only) in 4 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Growth 8+ times
- Probability
- 47% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 4 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…remains elevated—owing, in part, to geopolitical developments—domestic spending has been resilient. Productivity growth—strong; and capital investment is robust. Job gains have kept pace with the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…resilience. Even with recent shocks, the trends are positive and reveal solid growth. Job gains have kept pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…that owes, in part, to the conflict in the Middle East. Productivity growth and capital investment—both strong. Job gains have kept pace with the workforce,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…A good part of the slowing in the pace of the job growth over the past year reflects a decline in the growth of the…
…low. A good part of the slowing in the pace of job growth over the past year reflects a decline in the growth of the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | Growth 8+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 11 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Growth 8+ times | Polymarket | No | 4 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Growth 8+ times |  Kalshi | No | 4 |
Questions
- How often is “Growth 8+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Growth” was said 8+ times at the FOMC press conference on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2025 (50%), most recently on Mar 19, 2025.
- What is the probability “Growth 8+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Growth 8+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/growth-8plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=growth%20%288%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP