Will “Fuel” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fuel” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 8, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: fed chair
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Fuel
- Probability
- 24% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…restrictive after all, and could further rate cuts at this point perhaps fuel an excess level of investment there or market bubbles? How is the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Fuel” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fuel” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 8, 2025.
- What is the probability “Fuel” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 24%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Fuel’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/fuel (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=fuel · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP