Will “Kevin / Warsh” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Kevin / Warsh” was said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 29, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Kevin / Warsh
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 1 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
6 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…I will close with a few thoughts. First, I want to congratulate Kevin Warsh on his advancement out of the Senate Banking Committee this morning.…
…There is only ever one Chair of the Federal Reserve Board. When Kevin Warsh is confirmed and sworn in, he will be that Chair. Once…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Kevin / Warsh |  Polymarket | Yes | 6 |
Questions
- How often is “Kevin / Warsh” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Kevin / Warsh” was said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “Kevin / Warsh” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Kevin / Warsh’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/kevin-or-warsh (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=kevin%20%2F%20warsh · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP