Will “Not our job” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Not our job” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Not our job
- Probability
- 23% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 1 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…at any one asset price and say, “Hey, that’s wrong.” It’s not our job to do that. We look at the overall financial system, and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Not our job |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Not our job | Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Not our job” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Not our job” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 28, 2026.
- What is the probability “Not our job” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 23%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Not our job’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/not-our-job (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=not%20our%20job · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP