Will “Unemployment / Employment” be said 25+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Unemployment / Employment” was said 25+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2025.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (25+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Unemployment / Employment 25+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 1 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
25 counted (13 in prepared remarks, 12 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
…and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the American people. Although some…
…of our goals, and in light of the balance of risks to employment and inflation, today the Federal Open Market Committee decided to lower our…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Unemployment / Employment 25+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 25 |
Questions
- How often is “Unemployment / Employment 25+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Unemployment / Employment” was said 25+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2025.
- What is the probability “Unemployment / Employment 25+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Unemployment / Employment 25+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/employment-or-unemployment-25plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=employment%20%2F%20unemployment%20%2825%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP