Will “Percent” be said 20+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Percent” was said 20+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (20+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Percent 20+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 3 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
28 counted (16 in prepared remarks, 12 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…monetary policy as appropriate to promote progress toward our maximum-employment and 2 percent inflation goals. The implications of developments in the Middle East for the…
…Economic Projections, the median participant projects that real GDP will rise 2.4 percent this year and 2.3 percent next year, somewhat stronger than projected in…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Percent 20+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 28 |
Questions
- How often is “Percent 20+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Percent” was said 20+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “Percent 20+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Percent 20+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/percent-20plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=percent%20%2820%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP