Will “Food / Energy” be said 3+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Food / Energy” was said 3+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Food / Energy 3+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 3 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
12 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 9 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…over the 12 months ending in February and that, excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core PCE prices rose 3.0 percent. These elevated readings…
…East for the U.S. economy are uncertain. In the near term, higher energy prices will push up overall inflation, but it is too soon to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Food / Energy 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 12 |
Questions
- How often is “Food / Energy 3+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Food / Energy” was said 3+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “Food / Energy 3+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Food / Energy 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/energy-or-food-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=energy%20%2F%20food%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP