Will “Sorry / Pardon” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Sorry / Pardon” was said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Sorry / Pardon
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 4 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
And if you look at total inflation—sorry, total core inflation, it’s about 3 percent, and some big chunk of that, between a half and threequarters,…
…you do “look through” energy shocks, but, as I mentioned, that’s conditioned on inflation expectations and that kind of thing. So, sorry, your question was?
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Sorry / Pardon |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often is “Sorry / Pardon” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Sorry / Pardon” was said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “Sorry / Pardon” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Sorry / Pardon’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/pardon-or-sorry (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=pardon%20%2F%20sorry · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP