Will “Dollar” be said 2+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Dollar” was said 2+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (2+, named speaker only) in 4 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Dollar 2+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 4 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…time. So they’re, they’re not sitting there waiting for oil to go over $70 a barrel and then they’re going to start drilling or whatever.
…course, people are already seeing gas prices—gas prices are up almost a dollar a gallon. We hope that isn’t for a long period of time,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Dollar 2+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Dollar 2+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Dollar” was said 2+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “Dollar 2+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Dollar 2+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/dollar-2plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=dollar%20%282%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP