Will “inflation” be said 15+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “inflation” was said 15+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 18, 2024.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 5 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
inflation
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate has changed little. But inflation remains elevated. Today’s policy action will support a timelier return to the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Inflation remains elevated relative to the Committee’s 2 percent goal. The Committee remains resolute. You’ve heard this before, but we will deliver price stability. As…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the workforce, and the unemployment rate has changed little. We recognize that inflation has been running well ahead of the Fed’s long-stated inflation goal of…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…remained low, the unemployment rate has been little changed in recent months. Inflation has moved up and is elevated, in part reflecting the recent increase…
…low, the unemployment rate has been little changed in recent months, and inflation remains somewhat elevated. Today, the FOMC decided to leave our policy rate…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2024 | inflation |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “inflation” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “inflation” was said 15+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 18, 2024.
- What is the probability “inflation” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/inflation-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=inflation%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP