FOMC press conference

Fed · FOMC press conferenceEvent seriesTranscriptsUpdated

Every word

141–196 of 196, most settled first · page 3 of 3
FOMC press conference: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordSep 17 ’25conferenceOct 24remarksOct 29conferenceDec 10conferenceJan 28 ’26conferenceMar 18conferenceApr 29conferenceJun 17conferenceJul 29conferenceSep 16latestLast 10SettledProbability
Fed / Federal Reserve7+ timesNot listed: Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ times, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ times, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ times, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference4 times: Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ times, Mar 18 conference, below the thresholdNot listed: Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ times, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ times, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ times, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ times, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
FeedbackNot listed: Feedback, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Feedback, Oct 24 remarks0 times: Feedback, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Feedback, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Feedback, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Feedback, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Feedback, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Feedback, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Feedback, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Feedback, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
ForecastNot listed: Forecast, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Forecast, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Forecast, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Forecast, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Forecast, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Forecast, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Forecast, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Forecast, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Forecast, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Forecast, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Fraud0 times: Fraud, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Fraud, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Fraud, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Fraud, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Fraud, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Fraud, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Fraud, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Fraud, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Fraud, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Fraud, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
GeniusNot listed: Genius, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Genius, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Genius, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Genius, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Genius, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Genius, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Genius, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Genius, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Genius, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Genius, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Growth10+ timesNot listed: Growth 10+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Growth 10+ times, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Growth 10+ times, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Growth 10+ times, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Growth 10+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Growth 10+ times, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Growth 10+ times, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Growth 10+ times, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Growth 10+ times, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Growth 10+ times, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
HoldingNot listed: Holding, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Holding, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Holding, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Holding, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Holding, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Holding, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Holding, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Holding, Jun 17 conference0 times: Holding, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Holding, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
I Don't KnowNot listed: I Don't Know, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: I Don't Know, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: I Don't Know, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: I Don't Know, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: I Don't Know, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: I Don't Know, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: I Don't Know, Apr 29 conference0 times: I Don't Know, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: I Don't Know, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: I Don't Know, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
InnovationNot listed: Innovation, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Innovation, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Innovation, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Innovation, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Innovation, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Innovation, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Innovation, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Innovation, Jun 17 conference0 times: Innovation, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Innovation, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Jerome / PowellNot listed: Jerome / Powell, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Jerome / Powell, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Jerome / Powell, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Jerome / Powell, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Jerome / Powell, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Jerome / Powell, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Jerome / Powell, Apr 29 conference0 times: Jerome / Powell, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Jerome / Powell, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Jerome / Powell, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Job MarketNot listed: Job Market, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Job Market, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Job Market, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Job Market, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Job Market, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Job Market, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Job Market, Apr 29 conference0 times: Job Market, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Job Market, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Job Market, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
JudgeNot listed: Judge, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Judge, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Judge, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Judge, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Judge, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Judge, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Judge, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Judge, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Judge, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Judge, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Judy SheltonNot listed: Judy Shelton, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Judy Shelton, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Judy Shelton, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Judy Shelton, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Judy Shelton, Jan 28 ’26 conference0 times: Judy Shelton, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Judy Shelton, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Judy Shelton, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Judy Shelton, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Judy Shelton, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Labor ForceNot listed: Labor Force, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Labor Force, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Labor Force, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Labor Force, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Labor Force, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Labor Force, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Labor Force, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Labor Force, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Labor Force, Jul 29 conference0 times: Labor Force, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
LuckNot listed: Luck, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Luck, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Luck, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Luck, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Luck, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Luck, Mar 18 conference0 times: Luck, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Luck, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Luck, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Luck, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Luck / LuckyNot listed: Luck / Lucky, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Luck / Lucky, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Luck / Lucky, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Luck / Lucky, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Luck / Lucky, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Luck / Lucky, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Luck / Lucky, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Luck / Lucky, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Luck / Lucky, Jul 29 conference0 times: Luck / Lucky, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Mandate6+ timesNot listed: Mandate 6+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Mandate 6+ times, Oct 24 remarks3 times: Mandate 6+ times, Oct 29 conference, below the thresholdNot listed: Mandate 6+ times, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Mandate 6+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Mandate 6+ times, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Mandate 6+ times, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Mandate 6+ times, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Mandate 6+ times, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Mandate 6+ times, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Stephen / Miran0 times: Stephen / Miran, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Stephen / Miran, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Stephen / Miran, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Stephen / Miran, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Stephen / Miran, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Stephen / Miran, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Stephen / Miran, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Stephen / Miran, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Stephen / Miran, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Stephen / Miran, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
ModerationNot listed: Moderation, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Moderation, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Moderation, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Moderation, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Moderation, Jan 28 ’26 conference0 times: Moderation, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Moderation, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Moderation, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Moderation, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Moderation, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
No CommentNot listed: No Comment, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: No Comment, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: No Comment, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: No Comment, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: No Comment, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: No Comment, Mar 18 conference0 times: No Comment, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: No Comment, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: No Comment, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: No Comment, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Nothing3+ timesNot listed: Nothing 3+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Nothing 3+ times, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Nothing 3+ times, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Nothing 3+ times, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Nothing 3+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference1 time: Nothing 3+ times, Mar 18 conference, below the thresholdNot listed: Nothing 3+ times, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Nothing 3+ times, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Nothing 3+ times, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Nothing 3+ times, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
OverheatingNot listed: Overheating, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Overheating, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Overheating, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Overheating, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Overheating, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Overheating, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Overheating, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Overheating, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Overheating, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Overheating, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
OverreactNot listed: Overreact, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Overreact, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Overreact, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Overreact, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Overreact, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Overreact, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Overreact, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Overreact, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Overreact, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Overreact, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Pardon me / SorryNot listed: Pardon me / Sorry, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceSettled no: Pardon me / Sorry, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Pardon me / Sorry, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Pardon me / Sorry, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Pardon me / Sorry, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Pardon me / Sorry, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Pardon me / Sorry, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Pardon me / Sorry, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Pardon me / Sorry, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Pardon me / Sorry, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
PauseNot listed: Pause, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Pause, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Pause, Oct 29 conference0 times: Pause, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Pause, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Pause, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Pause, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Pause, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Pause, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Pause, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Percent15+ timesNot listed: Percent 15+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceSettled no: Percent 15+ times, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Percent 15+ times, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Percent 15+ times, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Percent 15+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Percent 15+ times, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Percent 15+ times, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Percent 15+ times, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Percent 15+ times, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Percent 15+ times, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
PivotNot listed: Pivot, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Pivot, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Pivot, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Pivot, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Pivot, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Pivot, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Pivot, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Pivot, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Pivot, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Pivot, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
PoliticsNot listed: Politics, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Politics, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Politics, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Politics, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Politics, Jan 28 ’26 conference0 times: Politics, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Politics, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Politics, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Politics, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Politics, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
PowellNot listed: Powell, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Powell, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Powell, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Powell, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Powell, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Powell, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Powell, Apr 29 conference0 times: Powell, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Powell, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Powell, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Quantitative TighteningNot listed: Quantitative Tightening, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Quantitative Tightening, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Quantitative Tightening, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Quantitative Tightening, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Quantitative Tightening, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Quantitative Tightening, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Quantitative Tightening, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Quantitative Tightening, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Quantitative Tightening, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Quantitative Tightening, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
RecalibrationNot listed: Recalibration, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Recalibration, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Recalibration, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Recalibration, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Recalibration, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Recalibration, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Recalibration, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Recalibration, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Recalibration, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Recalibration, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
ReconciliationNot listed: Reconciliation, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Reconciliation, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Reconciliation, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Reconciliation, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Reconciliation, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Reconciliation, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Reconciliation, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Reconciliation, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Reconciliation, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Reconciliation, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
RedemptionNot listed: Redemption, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Redemption, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Redemption, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Redemption, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Redemption, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Redemption, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Redemption, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Redemption, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Redemption, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Redemption, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
RefundNot listed: Refund, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Refund, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Refund, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Refund, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Refund, Jan 28 ’26 conference0 times: Refund, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Refund, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Refund, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Refund, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Refund, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
ResignNot listed: Resign, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Resign, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Resign, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Resign, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Resign, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Resign, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Resign, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Resign, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Resign, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Resign, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
RussiaNot listed: Russia, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Russia, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Russia, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Russia, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Russia, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Russia, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Russia, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Russia, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Russia, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Russia, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
ScenarioNot listed: Scenario, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Scenario, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Scenario, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Scenario, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Scenario, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Scenario, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Scenario, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Scenario, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Scenario, Jul 29 conference0 times: Scenario, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
SEP4+ timesNot listed: SEP 4+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: SEP 4+ times, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: SEP 4+ times, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: SEP 4+ times, Dec 10 conference1 time: SEP 4+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conference, below the thresholdNot listed: SEP 4+ times, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: SEP 4+ times, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: SEP 4+ times, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: SEP 4+ times, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: SEP 4+ times, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
SignalNot listed: Signal, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Signal, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Signal, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Signal, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Signal, Jan 28 ’26 conference0 times: Signal, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Signal, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Signal, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Signal, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Signal, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
SpikeNot listed: Spike, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Spike, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Spike, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Spike, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Spike, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Spike, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Spike, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Spike, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Spike, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Spike, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Step Down / Stepping DownNot listed: Step Down / Stepping Down, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Step Down / Stepping Down, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Step Down / Stepping Down, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Step Down / Stepping Down, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Step Down / Stepping Down, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Step Down / Stepping Down, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Step Down / Stepping Down, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Step Down / Stepping Down, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Step Down / Stepping Down, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Step Down / Stepping Down, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
StockNot listed: Stock, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Stock, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Stock, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Stock, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Stock, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Stock, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Stock, Apr 29 conference0 times: Stock, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Stock, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Stock, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Stock MarketNot listed: Stock Market, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Stock Market, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Stock Market, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Stock Market, Dec 10 conference0 times: Stock Market, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Stock Market, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Stock Market, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Stock Market, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Stock Market, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Stock Market, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Stress eventNot listed: Stress event, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceSettled no: Stress event, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Stress event, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Stress event, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Stress event, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Stress event, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Stress event, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Stress event, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Stress event, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Stress event, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Subpoena / SubpoenaedNot listed: Subpoena / Subpoenaed, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Subpoena / Subpoenaed, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Subpoena / Subpoenaed, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Subpoena / Subpoenaed, Dec 10 conference0 times: Subpoena / Subpoenaed, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Subpoena / Subpoenaed, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Subpoena / Subpoenaed, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Subpoena / Subpoenaed, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Subpoena / Subpoenaed, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Subpoena / Subpoenaed, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Supreme CourtNot listed: Supreme Court, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Supreme Court, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Supreme Court, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Supreme Court, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Supreme Court, Jan 28 ’26 conference0 times: Supreme Court, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Supreme Court, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Supreme Court, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Supreme Court, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Supreme Court, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Tariff20+ timesNot listed: Tariff 20+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Tariff 20+ times, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Tariff 20+ times, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Tariff 20+ times, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Tariff 20+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Tariff 20+ times, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Tariff 20+ times, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Tariff 20+ times, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Tariff 20+ times, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Tariff 20+ times, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Task Force10+ timesNot listed: Task Force 10+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Task Force 10+ times, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Task Force 10+ times, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Task Force 10+ times, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Task Force 10+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Task Force 10+ times, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Task Force 10+ times, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Task Force 10+ times, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Task Force 10+ times, Jul 29 conference1 time: Task Force 10+ times, Sep 16 conference, below the threshold0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Task Force20+ timesNot listed: Task Force 20+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Task Force 20+ times, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Task Force 20+ times, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Task Force 20+ times, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Task Force 20+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Task Force 20+ times, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Task Force 20+ times, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Task Force 20+ times, Jun 17 conference7 times: Task Force 20+ times, Jul 29 conference, below the thresholdNot listed: Task Force 20+ times, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Too lateNot listed: Too late, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Too late, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Too late, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Too late, Dec 10 conference0 times: Too late, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Too late, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Too late, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Too late, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Too late, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Too late, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
UkraineNot listed: Ukraine, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Ukraine, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Ukraine, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Ukraine, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Ukraine, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Ukraine, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Ukraine, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Ukraine, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Ukraine, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Ukraine, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Uncertainty3+ timesNot listed: Uncertainty (3+ times), Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty (3+ times), Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Uncertainty (3+ times), Oct 29 conferenceSettled no: Uncertainty (3+ times), Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty (3+ times), Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty (3+ times), Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty (3+ times), Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty (3+ times), Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty (3+ times), Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty (3+ times), Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Uncertainty7+ timesNot listed: Uncertainty 7+ times, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty 7+ times, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Uncertainty 7+ times, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty 7+ times, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty 7+ times, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty 7+ times, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty 7+ times, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty 7+ times, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty 7+ times, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Uncertainty 7+ times, Sep 16 conference–0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
UpdateNot listed: Update, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Update, Oct 24 remarks0 times: Update, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Update, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Update, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Update, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Update, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Update, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Update, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Update, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
WeakeningNot listed: Weakening, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Weakening, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Weakening, Oct 29 conference0 times: Weakening, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Weakening, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Weakening, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Weakening, Apr 29 conferenceNot listed: Weakening, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Weakening, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Weakening, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
WifeNot listed: Wife, Sep 17 ’25 conferenceNot listed: Wife, Oct 24 remarksNot listed: Wife, Oct 29 conferenceNot listed: Wife, Dec 10 conferenceNot listed: Wife, Jan 28 ’26 conferenceNot listed: Wife, Mar 18 conferenceNot listed: Wife, Apr 29 conference0 times: Wife, Jun 17 conferenceNot listed: Wife, Jul 29 conferenceNot listed: Wife, Sep 16 conference0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Settled
every settled market of the word: said / listed
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

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