Will “Delayed / Delay” be said at the next FOMC press conference?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Delayed / Delay” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.

Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FOMC press conference

Delayed / Delay

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 8 press conferences
said in 2 of 5 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, December 10, 2025 · Dec 10, 2025In transcript

…the labor market, although official employment data for October and November are delayed, available evidence suggests that both layoffs and hiring remain low, and that…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, October 29, 2025 · Oct 29, 2025In transcript

…of the American people. Although some important federal government data have been delayed due to the shutdown, the public- and private-sector data that have remained…

What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his April press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his March press conference? · not said

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What will Powell say during his January press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his Dec 2025 press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What Will Powell Say During His October Press Conference? · not listed

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What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his Sep 2025 press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Mar 18, 2026Delayed / DelayPolymarketNo0

Questions

How often is “Delayed / Delay” said at the FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Delayed / Delay” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
What is the probability “Delayed / Delay” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
30%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Delayed / Delay’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/delay-or-delayed (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=delay%20%2F%20delayed · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP