Will “Dual” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Dual” was said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2025.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 7.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: fed chair
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Dual
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…point to 3¾ to 4 percent, in support of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate. The Committee is continuing its policy of maintaining ample reserves in…
…funds rate at 3½ to 3¾ percent, in support of the Fed’s dual mandate. The Committee also reaffirmed its policy of maintaining ample reserves in…
Good afternoon. My colleagues and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the…
Good afternoon. My colleagues and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the…
Good afternoon. My colleagues and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | Dual |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Dual” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Dual” was said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2025.
- What is the probability “Dual” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Dual’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/dual (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=dual · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP