Will “Echo of History” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Echo of History” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Echo of History
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…first Friday after the month, the payroll index, or something else, that might be an echo of history that’s quite useful on its third revision.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Echo of History |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Echo of History” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Echo of History” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “Echo of History” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Echo of History’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/echo-of-history (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=echo%20of%20history · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP