Will “Macroeconomic” be said at the next FOMC press conference?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Macroeconomic” was said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 24, 2025.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FOMC press conference

Macroeconomic

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, September 16, 2026 · Sep 16, 2026In transcript

Yeah. It’s a fair question. In the macroeconomics, we tend to look at aggregates around here, aggregate GDP, overall labor market trends, the state of…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, January 28, 2026 · Jan 28, 2026 · 33:24In transcript

…overall effect is going to be. So how to think about it—in macroeconomic terms, it’s very hard. We can look at the aggregate data. We…

What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his April press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his March press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his January press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his Dec 2025 press conference? · not listed

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What Will Powell Say During His October Press Conference? · not listed

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What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Powell say during his Sep 2025 press conference? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 24, 2025MacroeconomicPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Macroeconomic” said at the FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Macroeconomic” was said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 24, 2025.
What is the probability “Macroeconomic” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Macroeconomic’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/macroeconomic (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=macroeconomic · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP