Will “Federal Reserve” be said 5+ times at the next FOMC press conference?

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Federal Reserve” was said 5+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 24, 2025.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (5+, anyone) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FOMC press conference

Federal Reserve 5+ times

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, September 16, 2026 · Sep 16, 2026In transcript

…¼ percentage point to 3¾ to 4 percent, in support of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate. The Committee is continuing its policy of maintaining ample…

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, July 29, 2026 · Jul 29, 2026In transcript

…and so determined, like I am, to sharpen the performance of the Federal Reserve. Today, as you know, our Committee decided to vote by a…

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, June 17, 2026 · Jun 17, 2026In transcript

…day. It’s an honor, a true honor, to be back at the Federal Reserve and to take up this duty at a time of such…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, April 29, 2026 · Apr 29, 2026In transcript

…step forward, and I wish him well as that process continues. The Federal Reserve exists for one fundamental purpose: to foster the economic conditions in…

EDWARD LAWRENCEreporterFOMC press conference, March 18, 2026 · Mar 18, 2026In transcript

And if I may, what happens if there’s no Federal Reserve Chairman confirmed on May 15? Would you stay on?

What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his April press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his March press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his January press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his Dec 2025 press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What Will Powell Say During His October Press Conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Powell say during his Sep 2025 press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 24, 2025Federal Reserve 5+ timesPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Federal Reserve 5+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Federal Reserve” was said 5+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 24, 2025.
What is the probability “Federal Reserve 5+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Federal Reserve 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/federal-reserve-5plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=federal%20reserve%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP