Will “Goal” be said 15+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Goal” was said 15+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 17, 2025.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Goal 15+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 2 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
23 counted (9 in prepared remarks, 14 in Q&A).
…afternoon. My colleagues and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the American…
…inflation has risen recently and remains somewhat elevated. In support of our goals, and in light of the shift in the balance of risks, today…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | Goal 15+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 23 |
Questions
- How often is “Goal 15+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Goal” was said 15+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 17, 2025.
- What is the probability “Goal 15+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 58%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Goal 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/goal-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=goal%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP