Will “Price” be said 15+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Price” was said 15+ times at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 5 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Price 15+ times
- Probability
- 61% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 5 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
This Committee will deliver price stability. Now I’ll get into some further detail. Our decision comes at a time when the American economy appears to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…The Committee remains resolute. You’ve heard this before, but we will deliver price stability. As before, the policy statement conveys just the facts. It’s steering…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…are here to serve our legislative remit, which you’ve heard us say before—price stability and maximum employment—and these objectives guided our business in the meeting…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the American people. The U.S. economy has been…
…squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the American people. The U.S. economy has been…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | Price 15+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 21 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Price 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 21 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Price 15+ times |  Kalshi | Yes | 21 |
Questions
- How often is “Price 15+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Price” was said 15+ times at the FOMC press conference on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 19, 2025.
- What is the probability “Price 15+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Price 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/price-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=price%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP