Will “Progress” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Progress” was said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Progress
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…are centered around the right number. And I think we’ve made some progress on that. I am not suggesting we’re done on that. It’s worth…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progress |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often is “Progress” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Progress” was said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “Progress” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Progress’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/progress (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=progress · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP