Donald Trump: Midterm Rally in Ohio, Oct 28, 2026

At the rally on Oct 28, 2026, Donald Trump said 21 of the 57 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 53 of 57 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

57 words · 21 settled yes · our count agreed on 53 of 57
Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability published before the event
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ timesYes2829✓73%n=9 from settlement history–
Iran 5+ timesYes1010✓67%n=38 from settlement history–
Tariff 3+ timesYes88✓64%n=16 from settlement history–
Nuclear 3+ timesYes66✓82%n=19 from settlement history–
Steel Yes44✓70%n=19 from settlement history–
Ass Yes44✓47%n=32 from settlement history–
Ilhan / Omar Yes33✗75%n=9 from settlement history–
Gulf of America Yes33✓55%n=52 from settlement history–
Liar Yes33✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Fraud 3+ timesYes33✓25%n=16 from settlement history–
Canada / Canadian Yes22✓68%n=15 from settlement history–
Alaska Yes22✓50%n=12 from settlement history–
America First Yes22✓46%n=115 from settlement history–
Electricity Yes22✓21%n=9 from settlement history–
Save America Act Yes11✓80%n=84 from settlement history–
Made in America / American Made Yes11✓64%n=30 from settlement history–
Kamala Yes11✓60%n=72 from settlement history–
Maduro Yes11✗49%n=72 from settlement history–
Cleveland Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Hormuz / Blockade Yes00✗66%n=11 from settlement history–
Hormuz Yes00✗54%n=106 from settlement history–
Hell 15+ timesNo1010✓39%n=11 from settlement history–
Biden / Obama / Kamala 15+ timesNo1013✓32%n=5 from settlement history–
Job 20+ timesNo915✓40%n=12 from settlement history–
Drug 10+ timesNo66✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Transgender 7+ timesNo44✓53%n=7 from settlement history–
Social Security 5+ timesNo22✓31%n=5 from settlement history–
Lake America 7+ timesNo11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE No00✓73%n=52 from settlement history–
China / Chinese No00✓64%n=104 from settlement history–
Supreme Court No00✓63%n=105 from settlement history–
Small Business No00✓57%n=4 from settlement history–
Russia / Ukraine No00✓56%n=36 from settlement history–
Bessent No00✓55%n=4 from settlement history–
SI / Super Intelligence No00✓48%n=20 from settlement history–
Climate Change No00✓47%n=3 from settlement history–
Blockade No00✓45%n=44 from settlement history–
Brazil No00✓44%n=8 from settlement history–
Cuba No00✓44%n=26 from settlement history–
Elon / Musk No01✓40%n=71 from settlement history–
Space Force No00✓38%n=41 from settlement history–
Israel / Israeli No00✓35%n=118 from settlement history–
Greenland No00✓35%n=64 from settlement history–
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported No00✓30%n=12 from settlement history–
Drill Baby Drill No00✓30%n=122 from settlement history–
Veteran No00✓26%n=17 from settlement history–
Windmill No00✓25%n=76 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No00✓23%n=278 from settlement history–
Palestine / Palestinian No00✓20%n=24 from settlement history–
Data Center No00✓17%n=38 from settlement history–
Fentanyl No00✓16%n=72 from settlement history–
Deport / Deported / Deportation No00✓16%n=24 from settlement history–
Trump Account No00✓11%n=32 from settlement history–
Ceasefire No00✓10%n=138 from settlement history–
Peace in the Middle East No00✓5%n=61 from settlement history–
Crypto / Bitcoin No00✓4%n=534 from settlement history–
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency No00✓3%n=69 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 29, 2026 03:10 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Captions · machine-attributed · RSBN (YouTube auto-captions) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

0 matches for “Terrible / Horrible”.

Where the listed words were said

Donald Trumpspeaker“Million / Billion / Trillion (25+)” · 18:26

…history, and totally open borders. How about the open borders? With 25 million illegal aliens pouring in, it was invasion. It was an invasion. And…

Donald Trumpspeaker“Iran (5+)” · 15:21

…we've gotten, all of the victories that we've had with Venezuela, soon Iran will close that one out, too. um all of the success we've…

Donald Trumpspeaker“Tariff (3+)” · 54:20

I like that. And thanks to my tariffs. I always say it's my favorite word, but I don't say that anymore because I get I…

Donald Trumpspeaker“Nuclear (3+)” · 28:04

…have taken care of it. And Iran will never ever have a nuclear weapon. that I can do. Right. So, Sherid Brown voted 10 times…

Donald Trumpspeaker“Steel” · 9:43

…It was like my hand. It was like hitting a piece of steel and he took on a whole I explained this and he took…

Donald Trumpspeaker“Ass” · 8:24

…what I said, but I said I started by looking at his ass and it was strong as hell. And the problem is the fake…

Donald Trumpspeaker“Ilhan / Omar” · 49:38

…are sick. So just last week it was also revealed that Elan Omar's name is not Ilan Omar the one who she used to get…

Donald Trumpspeaker“Gulf of America” · 1:07:36

…we named a Gulf. known the Gulf of Mexico into the Gulf of America. We named a lovely lake named Lake Ontario. Lake Ontario. It's…

Donald Trumpspeaker“Liar” · 36:13

…had the mother of his opponent say that her daughter was a liar. I said, "Why can't I have an opponent like that?" She said…

Donald Trumpspeaker“Fraud (3+)” · 43:51

…on the ballot and nobody can tell the difference. This is voter fraud at the highest level. And the Democrat candidate who is involved in…

Donald Trumpspeaker“Canada / Canadian” · 1:04:11

…coming in from South Korea, from Japan, from Germany, from every from Mexico, and from a place called O Canada. O Canada has been ripping

Donald Trumpspeaker“Alaska” · 43:18

is a very serious charge. Democrats in Alaska, despite their sworn statements to the contrary, put a man named Dan Sullivan on the ballot in…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-10-28:rally-chillicothe-ohio · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-10-28:rally-chillicothe-ohio · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP