Will Donald Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 25+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million / Billion / Trillion” 25+ times at 6 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (86%), most recently on Oct 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (25+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 6/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times
- Probability
- 64% · n=7
- Settled
- 6/7 (86%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…American history, the worst trade deficit in American history, and allowed 25 million people to invade your country by pouring across our borders from all…
…most votes, more votes than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions and millions. Thank you. And I just look at this group…
…American history, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. It…
…or cyber attacks. It's pretty amazing. Americans reported losing more than $20 billion to cyber enabled crimes, and this is just what's reported. So, the…
…years ago, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. And
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | Polymarket | No | 23 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 26 |
| May 27, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million / Billion / Trillion” 25+ times at 6 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (86%), most recently on Oct 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/billion-or-million-or-trillion-25plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=billion%20%2F%20million%20%2F%20trillion%20%2825%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP