Will Donald Trump say “Gulf of America”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gulf of America” at 31 of 51 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 4, 2025 (61%), most recently on Oct 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=51, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.

53%from settlement history only · n=51Next: Rally, Oct 27, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes yes no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Market
70¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gulf%20of%20america

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Gulf of America

Probability
53% · n=51
Settled
31/51 (61%)
Last 8 rallies
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Corinth, Mississippi? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Trump say this week? (October 19 - October 25) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 19 - October 25) · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · said 7 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

7 counted.

Donald Trumpspeaker59:01In transcript

…to support an important industry here in the shores of the Gulf of America. How do we like the Gulf of America? the Gulf. That's…

Donald Trumpspeaker1:00:59In transcript

…tell you it's like it's like with seriously it's like the Gulf of America. You know the Gulf of America now the whole shoreline is…

Every match in the transcript

What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted.

Donald Trumpspeaker1:13:51In transcript

…I changed a name from the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America and people love it. And I also changed the name of…

Donald Trumpspeaker1:14:29In transcript

…true. No, no, it's true. It is true. Actually, that's the Gulf of America. You know, we have 93% of the frontage. They have 7%.…

What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · said 1 time (counts)

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Find “Gulf of America” in this transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 55 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 26, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes–
Oct 25, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo0
Oct 24, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo0
Oct 23, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes7
Oct 22, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes2
Oct 21, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes1
Oct 20, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo–
Oct 19, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo–
Oct 17, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes–
Oct 16, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes–
Oct 14, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes–
Oct 13, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo–
Oct 12, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo–
Oct 10, 2026Gulf of AmericaPolymarketYes–
Oct 9, 2026Gulf of AmericaPolymarketNo–
Oct 9, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo–
Oct 7, 2026Gulf of AmericaPolymarketYes–
Oct 7, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes–
Oct 2, 2026Gulf of AmericaPolymarketYes–
Oct 2, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes–
Sep 30, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes6
Sep 22, 2026Gulf of AmericaPolymarketNo0
Aug 31, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes1
Jul 31, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes2
Jul 22, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo0
Jul 4, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes–
Jun 30, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes2
Jun 25, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo0
Jun 24, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes–
Jun 23, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo0
May 31, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 20, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes–
May 1, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes–
May 1, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo–
Apr 30, 2026Gulf of AmericaPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Apr 30, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 19, 2026Gulf of AmericaPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Apr 17, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo–
Apr 15, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes–
Mar 31, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 27, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes–
Mar 11, 2026Gulf of AmericaPolymarketNo–
Mar 11, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo–
Mar 8, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo–
Feb 28, 2026Gulf of AmericaPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Feb 28, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Feb 24, 2026Gulf of AmericaPolymarketNo–
Feb 24, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo–
Feb 1, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes3
Jan 1, 2026Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Dec 18, 2025Gulf of AmericaKalshiNo–
Dec 1, 2025Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Oct 5, 2025Gulf of AmericaKalshiYes–
Mar 4, 2025Gulf of AmericaPolymarketYes–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Gulf of America”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gulf of America” at 31 of 51 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 4, 2025 (61%), most recently on Oct 26, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Gulf of America” next time?
53%, from settlement history (n=51). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Gulf of America’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gulf-of-america (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gulf%20of%20america · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP