Will Donald Trump say “Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency” at 2 of 63 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 9, 2025 (3%), most recently on Aug 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 4% (n=63, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 10 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 3¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
- Probability
- 4% · n=63
- Settled
- 2/63 (3%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 60 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency” at 2 of 63 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 9, 2025 (3%), most recently on Aug 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency” next time?
- 4%, from settlement history (n=63). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bitcoin-or-crypto-or-cryptocurrency (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bitcoin%20%2F%20crypto%20%2F%20cryptocurrency · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP