Will Donald Trump say “Deport / Deported / Deportation”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Deport / Deported / Deportation” at 3 of 20 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 10, 2026 (15%), most recently on Oct 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=20, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

14%from settlement history only · n=20Next: Rally, Oct 24, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
12¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=deport%20%2F%20deportation%20%2F%20deported

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Deport / Deported / Deportation

Probability
14% · n=20
Settled
3/20 (15%)
Last 8 rallies
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Roundtable · Oct 21, 2026 · 14:31In transcript

…interagency partners on law enforcement in cities all across America in mass deportations of illegals who we're proud to have the assets to be able…

The PressreporterDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:32:20In transcript

There is a problem with Ilhan Omar's age. Could she be deported? The President: Well, she could be. She could also go to jail. I…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not said

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not said

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · settled no

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · settled no

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 20 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 23, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo0
Oct 22, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo0
Oct 21, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo0
Oct 20, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Oct 19, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Oct 17, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiYes–
Oct 16, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Oct 13, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Oct 12, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Oct 9, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Oct 7, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Oct 5, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Oct 3, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Oct 2, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Oct 1, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Sep 16, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Aug 14, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiYes1
Jun 10, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo0

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Deport / Deported / Deportation”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Deport / Deported / Deportation” at 3 of 20 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 10, 2026 (15%), most recently on Oct 17, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Deport / Deported / Deportation” next time?
14%, from settlement history (n=20). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Deport / Deported / Deportation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/deport-or-deportation-or-deported (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=deport%20%2F%20deportation%20%2F%20deported · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP