Will Donald Trump say “Job” 20+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Job” 20+ times at 6 of 12 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 2, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (20+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Job 20+ times
- Probability
- 40% · n=12
- Settled
- 6/12 (50%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…level, most successful level in American history. Poverty. So, income, poverty, more jobs. Here's another one. African-American poverty, Hispanic American poverty, Asian-American poverty, Native…
…in 125 years since 1900. And when Ashley goes to Washington DC where Joanie has spent a lot of very prosperous years. Great job Joanie.
…And now I'd like to ask a man who's done an incredible job. Attorney General Todd Blanche. to say a few words. Thank you very…
…seen before. When you go out there and you look at the jobs, look at the construction jobs. We have more construction jobs. They're building…
…JD and the Untouchables behind me are -- they've done an incredible job. They've sought out and found tremendous amounts of fraud in various states…
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Job 20+ times |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Job 20+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Job 20+ times | Polymarket | No | 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Job 20+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Job 20+ times | Polymarket | No | 19 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Job 20+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 21 |
| May 27, 2026 | Job 20+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Job 20+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Job 20+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Job 20+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Job 20+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Job 20+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Job 20+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Job” 20+ times at 6 of 12 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 2, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Job 20+ times” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Job 20+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/job-20plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=job%20%2820%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP