Will Donald Trump say “Hell” 15+ times?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hell” 15+ times at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the 8 latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches), it reached the market's count 2 times.
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Hell 15+ times
- Probability
- 49% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
16 counted.
…know, I shouldn't say I shouldn't break, should I? Yeah. What the hell difference? Which I won all three times, receiving more votes than any…
saying this for the first time? How the hell do you have this guy running? Why can't I have somebody like that to run against…
Counts: named speaker only
21 counted.
…It would be a disaster. She's a fanatical transgender activist. How the hell do you run in South Carolina? Am I in a different state?…
…Are you Are you sure this is South Carolina? Big. How the hell does she run? Darlene, you're going to win big, darling. You're going…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Hell 15+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 16 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Hell 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 21 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Hell 15+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Hell 15+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hell 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Hell 15+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Hell 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hell” 15+ times at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Hell 15+ times” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Hell 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/hell-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=hell%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP