Will Donald Trump say “Space Force”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Space Force” at 22 of 40 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 23, 2024 (55%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=40, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

68%from settlement history only · n=40Next: Monthly window, Oct 31, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Space Force

Probability
68% · n=40
Settled
22/40 (55%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 36:12In transcript

…were never there. It's all made in the USA. And I love Space Force because Space Force, you know, we had a great first term.…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not said

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 44 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 31, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes3
Oct 23, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo0
Oct 22, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo0
Oct 16, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo–
Oct 8, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo–
Oct 6, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes–
Oct 2, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes–
Sep 30, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes2
Sep 13, 2026Space ForcePolymarketYes1
Sep 10, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo0
Sep 9, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes1
Aug 31, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes14
Aug 28, 2026Space ForcePolymarketYes8
Aug 28, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes8
Jul 31, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes4
Jul 31, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo0
Jul 29, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo–
Jul 15, 2026Space ForcePolymarketNo0
Jul 15, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo0
Jul 4, 2026Space ForcePolymarketYes–
Jul 3, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo0
Jun 30, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes12
Jun 24, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo–
Jun 21, 2026Space ForcePolymarketYes3
May 31, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 20, 2026Space ForcePolymarketYes–
May 20, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes–
May 6, 2026Space forcePolymarketYes–
Apr 29, 2026Space ForcePolymarketYes–
Apr 29, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes–
Mar 26, 2026Space ForcePolymarketNo–
Mar 11, 2026Space ForcePolymarketNo–
Mar 11, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo–
Mar 8, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 1, 2026Space ForcePolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Feb 28, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes–
Feb 14, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes–
Feb 13, 2026Space ForcePolymarketYes–
Dec 24, 2025Space ForcePolymarketYes–
Nov 27, 2025Space ForcePolymarketYes–
Jul 4, 2025Space ForcePolymarketNo–
Jun 14, 2025Space ForcePolymarketNo–
May 24, 2025Space ForcePolymarketNo–
Aug 23, 2024Space ForcePolymarketNo–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Space Force”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Space Force” at 22 of 40 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 23, 2024 (55%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Space Force” next time?
68%, from settlement history (n=40). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Space Force’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/space-force (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=space%20force · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP