Will Donald Trump say “Liar”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Liar” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 30, 2025.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Liar
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…running against, her mother said horrible things about her. Called her a liar. called her. I've never seen anything quite like it. And it was…
…to be running. But the lieutenant governor knew everything, and she's a liar. Similar scams have been uncovered in Maine, in California, and many other…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2025 | Liar |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Liar”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Liar” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Liar” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Liar’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/liar (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=liar · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP