Will Donald Trump say “Fentanyl / Deport / Deported”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Fentanyl / Deport / Deported” at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2026 (17%), most recently on Oct 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the 8 latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches), it reached the market's count 1 time.
- Last 10
- 1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
- Probability
- 32% · n=6
- Settled
- 1/6 (17%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
There is a problem with Ilhan Omar's age. Could she be deported? The President: Well, she could be. She could also go to jail. I…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
As you know, we tariffed them due to the fentanyl, and what they have is fentanyl is used for many purposes. But when it's used…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Fentanyl / Deport / Deported |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Fentanyl / Deport / Deported”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Fentanyl / Deport / Deported” at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2026 (17%), most recently on Oct 17, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Fentanyl / Deport / Deported” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Fentanyl / Deport / Deported’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/deport-or-deported-or-fentanyl (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=deport%20%2F%20deported%20%2F%20fentanyl · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP