Will Donald Trump say “Biden / Kamala / Obama” 15+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Biden / Kamala / Obama” 15+ times at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 20, 2026 (20%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times
- Probability
- 32% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
10 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…actually zero in 17 months. Who can believe it, right? Remember Joe Biden said we'd have to go to Congress to get a change. I…
…one more. Has anybody ever heard of a gentleman named Barack Hussein Obama? Well, Barack Hussein Obama said, "We will never be a manufacturing country."…
Counts: named speaker only
13 counted.
…run in South Carolina? Am I in a different state? Maybe like Biden. Remember, he was in Florida and he thought he was in Maine.…
…Arlene, too. Before I took office, the Democrat inflation disaster and the Biden migrant invasion. It was literally an invasion of our country. pushed the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times | Polymarket | No | 10 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times | Polymarket | No | 13 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Biden / Kamala / Obama” 15+ times at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 20, 2026 (20%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/biden-or-kamala-or-obama-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=biden%20%2F%20kamala%20%2F%20obama%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP