Will Donald Trump say “Trump Account”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Trump Account” at 10 of 30 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=30, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

13%from settlement history only · n=30Next: Rally, Oct 27, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
30¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=trump%20account

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Trump Account

Probability
13% · n=30
Settled
10/30 (33%)
Last 8 rallies
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 57:28In transcript

…become so popular. It's just taken off. It's incredible. We will launch Trump accounts, tax reinvestment accounts for every American child, starting with a thousand…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:14:46In transcript

…haven't thought of it. We're looking at something as an alternative. But Trump accounts has been one of the greatest things, one of the most…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not said

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · settled no

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 31 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 23, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo0
Oct 22, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo0
Oct 21, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo0
Oct 19, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Oct 17, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Oct 16, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Oct 13, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Oct 12, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Oct 9, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Oct 7, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Oct 5, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Oct 3, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Oct 2, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Sep 30, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Sep 16, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo0
Aug 20, 2026Trump AccountPolymarketNo–
Aug 9, 2026Trump AccountPolymarketYes4
Aug 5, 2026Trump AccountKalshiYes4
Aug 4, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
Aug 2, 2026Trump AccountPolymarketYes2
Jul 26, 2026Trump AccountPolymarketYes11
Jul 26, 2026Trump AccountKalshiYes11
Jul 19, 2026Trump AccountKalshiYes2
Jun 30, 2026Trump AccountKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (30 of 40 known appearances transcribed; the post archive does not cover the window))
Jun 13, 2026Trump AccountKalshiNo–
May 31, 2026Trump AccountPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Apr 30, 2026Trump AccountPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Apr 16, 2026Trump AccountPolymarketYes–
Apr 16, 2026Trump AccountKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Trump Account”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Trump Account” at 10 of 30 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 6, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Trump Account” next time?
13%, from settlement history (n=30). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Trump Account’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/trump-account (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=trump%20account · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP