Will Donald Trump say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?

As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 96 of 274 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 20, 2025 (35%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=274, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the 8 latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches), it reached the market's count 2 times.

26%from settlement history only · n=274Next: Rally, Oct 23, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Probability
26% · n=274
Settled
96/274 (35%)
Latest transcripts
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · settled no

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted.

Donald Trumpspeaker21:06In transcript

…that can answer those questions, I'll tell you. But I put in a I wanted to do an executive order where every anybody running for…

Donald Trumpspeaker1:24:11In transcript

…chairman Joe Gruters, who's a powerful guy who's you're going to have a I think you're going to have a great November 3rd. And former…

What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted.

Donald Trumpspeaker32:15In transcript

…We changed the name. and whoever wins SI because they had an artificial intelligence and it's not artificial, it's super sometimes you might think it's…

Every match in the transcript

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · settled no

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · settled no

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · settled no

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 23, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Oct 22, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo2
Oct 22, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo2
Oct 21, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketYes2
Oct 21, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo0
Oct 21, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes2
Oct 20, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo–
Oct 20, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo0
Oct 20, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Oct 19, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo–
Oct 19, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Oct 19, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Oct 17, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo–
Oct 17, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Oct 16, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketYes–
Oct 16, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes–
Oct 15, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketYes–
Oct 14, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes–
Oct 13, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo–
Oct 13, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Oct 12, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Oct 9, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Oct 8, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketYes–
Oct 7, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Oct 7, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes–
Oct 6, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes–
Oct 5, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes–
Oct 3, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes–
Oct 2, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo–
Oct 2, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Oct 1, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Oct 1, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Sep 30, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo–
Sep 30, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes–
Sep 30, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Sep 29, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes–
Sep 28, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo–
Sep 28, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Sep 24, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo–
Sep 24, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo–
Sep 24, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Sep 24, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Sep 22, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketYes3
Sep 22, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo0
Sep 22, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes3
Sep 21, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo–
Sep 21, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Sep 17, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo0
Sep 17, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Sep 17, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo1
Sep 16, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo0
Sep 16, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo0
Sep 12, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketYes4
Sep 12, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo0
Sep 12, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes4
Sep 12, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo0
Sep 11, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes–
Sep 10, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 96 of 274 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 20, 2025 (35%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
26%, from settlement history (n=274). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP