Will Donald Trump say “Veteran”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Veteran” at 4 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 24, 2025 (27%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the 8 latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches), it reached the market's count 1 time.
- Last 10
- 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Veteran
- Probability
- 37% · n=15
- Settled
- 4/15 (27%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 19 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Veteran |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Veteran |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Veteran | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Veteran | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Veteran | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Veteran | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Veteran | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Veteran | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Veteran | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Veteran | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Veteran | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) | – |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Veteran | Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Veteran | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Veteran | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Veteran | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Veterans | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Veteran | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Veteran | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 24, 2025 | Veteran | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Veteran”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Veteran” at 4 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 24, 2025 (27%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Veteran” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Veteran’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/veteran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=veteran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP