Will Donald Trump say “Ass”?

As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Ass” at 14 of 26 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 18, 2025 (54%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=26, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the 8 latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches), it reached the market's count 0 times.

53%from settlement history only · n=26Next: Rally, Oct 23, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
1¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Ass

Probability
53% · n=26
Settled
14/26 (54%)
Latest transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not said

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not said

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · settled no

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 26 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 31, 2026AssPolymarketYes0
Oct 22, 2026AssPolymarketNo0
Oct 21, 2026AssPolymarketNo0
Oct 20, 2026AssPolymarketYes–
Oct 19, 2026AssPolymarketNo–
Oct 17, 2026AssPolymarketYes–
Oct 16, 2026AssPolymarketYes–
Oct 12, 2026AssPolymarketYes–
Oct 2, 2026AssPolymarketNo–
Oct 1, 2026AssPolymarketYes–
Sep 30, 2026AssPolymarketYes1
Sep 29, 2026AssPolymarketNo–
Sep 10, 2026AssPolymarketNo0
Sep 9, 2026AssPolymarketYes1
Aug 31, 2026AssPolymarketYes1
Apr 26, 2026AssPolymarketYes0
Apr 19, 2026AssPolymarketYes0
Mar 22, 2026AssPolymarketNo0
Mar 15, 2026AssPolymarketNo0
Jan 21, 2026AssPolymarketNo–
Jan 18, 2026AssPolymarketYes0
Nov 30, 2025AssPolymarketNo0
Oct 31, 2025AssPolymarketYes0
Jun 27, 2025AssPolymarketYes0
Jun 20, 2025AssPolymarketNo0
Apr 18, 2025AssPolymarketNo0

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Ass”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Ass” at 14 of 26 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 18, 2025 (54%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Ass” next time?
53%, from settlement history (n=26). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Ass’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/ass (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=ass · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP