Donald Trump: Midterm Rally in Ohio, Oct 28, 2026
At the rally on Oct 28, 2026, Donald Trump said 21 of the 57 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed.
UpdatedMarkets
57 words · 21 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi - Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear 3+ times | Yes | 82%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | Yes | 80%n=84 from settlement history | – |
| Ilhan / Omar | Yes | 75%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | Yes | 73%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Steel | Yes | 70%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Canada / Canadian | Yes | 68%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 5+ times | Yes | 67%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz / Blockade | Yes | 66%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Made in America / American Made | Yes | 64%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff 3+ times | Yes | 64%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | Yes | 60%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| Gulf of America | Yes | 55%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 54%n=106 from settlement history | – |
| Alaska | Yes | 50%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | Yes | 49%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| Cleveland | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Liar | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ass | Yes | 47%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| America First | Yes | 46%n=115 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud 3+ times | Yes | 25%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Electricity | Yes | 21%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 73%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 64%n=104 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 63%n=105 from settlement history | – |
| Small Business | No | 57%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | No | 56%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Bessent | No | 55%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender 7+ times | No | 53%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| SI / Super Intelligence | No | 48%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Lake America 7+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate Change | No | 47%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Blockade | No | 45%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Brazil | No | 44%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba | No | 44%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Job 20+ times | No | 40%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 40%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 15+ times | No | 39%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Drug 10+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Space Force | No | 38%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 35%n=118 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | No | 35%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| Biden / Obama / Kamala 15+ times | No | 32%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Social Security 5+ times | No | 31%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | No | 30%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | 30%n=122 from settlement history | – |
| Veteran | No | 26%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | No | 25%n=76 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 23%n=278 from settlement history | – |
| Palestine / Palestinian | No | 20%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | No | 17%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl | No | 16%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | No | 16%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Trump Account | No | 11%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 10%n=138 from settlement history | – |
| Peace in the Middle East | No | 5%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 4%n=534 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | 3%n=69 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 29, 2026 03:10 UTC.
Transcript
Transcript pending. Scheduled for Wed, Oct 28. Expected around Oct 29, 2026 from the rally video's captions (his turns only). Transcripts from this source are added when our worker runs, so there is no set time.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-10-28:rally-chillicothe-ohio · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-10-28:rally-chillicothe-ohio · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP