Will Donald Trump say “Landslide”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Landslide” at 46 of 67 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 2, 2025 (69%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=67, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 8 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Landslide
- Probability
- 48% · n=67
- Settled
- 46/67 (69%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…if we can get the people out then we're going to have landslides the likes of which we've never seen. So, so if you would,…
…get it. If you get out and vote like you did in 2024, we win in a landslide. You know, we win in a landslide.
…not expected to win his race and he won in almost a landslide. How the hell did that happen, Bernie? And he's one of the…
…call them, if they get out to vote, we'll win in a landslide. But they have to want to get out to vote. And if…
…that I'm not running. I did that already and won in a landslide. We won in a giant landslide, and I'll be here for two…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 60 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Landslide |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (3 of 5 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Landslide |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Landslide | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Landslide | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Landslide | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Landslide | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 12 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Landslide | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Landslide | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Landslide | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Landslide | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| May 31, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 24, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 18, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 17, 2026 | Landslide | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Landslide”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Landslide” at 46 of 67 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 2, 2025 (69%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Landslide” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=67). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Landslide’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/landslide (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=landslide · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP