Donald Trump: Rally #2, Jun 11, 2026
At the rally on Jun 11, 2026, Donald Trump said 7 of the 21 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 21 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
21 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 21 of 21- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 67%n=265 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 43%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 64%n=154 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 64%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 57%n=111 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 52%n=140 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 33%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 59%n=111 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=249 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=91 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 47%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=162 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 25%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 13%n=391 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · The American Presidency Project (UCSB), Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
Under the Biden administration, it was crazy. Twenty-five million people were allowed to come into our country. They were horrible. Some horrible drug dealers—think of…
…you know, we have a lot of rigged elections going on in this country, which is why we want to pass the SAVE America Act.
…a lot, and then we won the whole thing by a lot, by landslides. And it's an honor, and our country is doing really well.
…was—he was fantastic. He was a fanatic when it came to election fraud. He believed it, and he knows it, and we've been proven right.…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-06-11:rally-tele-burt-jones · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-06-11:rally-tele-burt-jones · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP