Donald Trump: Rally, Aug 6, 2026
At the rally on Aug 6, 2026, Donald Trump said 8 of the 28 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 28 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
28 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 28 of 28- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi - Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 54%n=127 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 34%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 70%n=322 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 54%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 52%n=203 from settlement history | – |
| Coal | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 46%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 36%n=311 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 34%n=74 from settlement history | – |
| Voter ID | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 61%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Open Border | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Save America Act | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 57%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=201 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 48%n=219 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 47%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 47%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=67 from settlement history | – |
| Obama | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=158 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=151 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=93 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=94 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=67 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%n=216 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%n=67 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 9%n=471 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · The American Presidency Project (UCSB), Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
But there is a very important election happening in your State, and I'm asking you to get out and vote for a very special MAGA—really,…
…illegally through our southern border. We had 25 million come in under Biden, and they came in at levels of crime and everything else; 11,888…
But Megan is an American-first warrior who's—she's got my complete and total endorsement. The only one. She's in a class by herself.
She supports clean, beautiful coal. She'll also unlock the liquid gold and natural gas under your feet. Wyoming will continue to grow into the American…
…a year ago, your country was dead, and now you have the hottest country anywhere in the world." And that's what we do, and Megan…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-08-06:rally-tele-megan-degenfelder · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-08-06:rally-tele-megan-degenfelder · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP