Donald Trump: Rally #2, Jul 29, 2026
At the rally on Jul 29, 2026, Donald Trump said 2 of the 21 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 21 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
21 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 21 of 21- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 73%n=314 from settlement history | – |
| America First | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 39%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 59%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=194 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=211 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 57%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%n=74 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%n=191 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=143 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=303 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 23%n=208 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 18%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 10%n=461 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · The American Presidency Project (UCSB), Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
Biden let in 25 million people illegally. Many of them should never have been in this country—ever. They came in from prisons, they came—drug dealers…
…is fantastic and has my complete and total endorsement because he puts America first, like we all do, and he puts Kansas first. He's a…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-07-29:rally-tele-ty-masterson · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-07-29:rally-tele-ty-masterson · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP