Donald Trump: Rally, Aug 10, 2026
At the rally on Aug 10, 2026, Donald Trump said 9 of the 34 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 34 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
34 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 34 of 34- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi - Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 61%n=118 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 57%n=130 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 61%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 54%n=206 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 53%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| American Patriot | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 38%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 37%n=155 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 26%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Lindsey 5+ times | No | 4 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 72%n=327 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 68%n=122 from settlement history | – |
| Honor | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%n=207 from settlement history | – |
| Funeral | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stop | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=224 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Filibuster | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Nancy Mace | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| America First | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=316 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=79 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=162 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=95 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=96 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%n=221 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 14%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 8%n=476 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · The American Presidency Project (UCSB), Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…have record stock markets, record everything. We have nobody coming into our borders. I mean, literally nobody. For 15 months, our borders have been absolutely…
…it so convincingly every single time I've ever run, both primaries and elections. Primaries were incredible, and then we had elections, and they were even…
…proud of anybody than Darline. So I just want to tell you that she has my complete and total endorsement, has right from the beginning.
…keep men, of course, out of women's sports; and protect our sacred elections by supporting the SAVE America Act, which we're going to get done.
So Darline is a true American patriot and a tremendous leader. She will not let the people of South Carolina down.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-08-10:rally-tele-darline-graham · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-08-10:rally-tele-darline-graham · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP