Donald Trump: Rally, Jun 8, 2026
At the rally on Jun 8, 2026, Donald Trump said 15 of the 36 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 36 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
36 words · 15 settled yes · our count agreed on 36 of 36- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi - Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina 7+ times | Yes | 13 | 19 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 68%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 59%n=110 from settlement history | – |
| Poll 2+ times | Yes | 3 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 64%n=263 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 61%n=153 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 58%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Citizenship | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 45%n=89 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 44%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 35%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Get Out And Vote | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 51%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 50%n=247 from settlement history | – |
| America First | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 45%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 40%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| State 5+ times | No | 3 | 10 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 61%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=89 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud / Scam | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 57%n=137 from settlement history | – |
| Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 57%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Game | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Women's Sports | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Job 2+ times | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tuesday | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Los Angeles / LA | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| NBA / Basketball | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Migrant Crime | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=161 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%n=388 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · The American Presidency Project (UCSB), Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
But I have to start off by saying thank you to South Carolina. I've won it six times, including the primary, six-and-oh. And that's a…
And now we're in—as you know, we're in Iran, and we've decimated their military. We've decimated their—everything there is to decimate, including their leadership. And…
…to give us everything. They're willing to give us no nuclear weapon. Iran—and the people in South Carolina agree; I saw a poll—Iran cannot have…
…be—in the Republican primary, you're going to be voting tomorrow. And the polls open at 7 a.m. and close at 7 p.m. So go to…
It's hard to believe that it can be, because under the Biden administration, they had 25 million people come in through the border, and they…
…11 months, nobody came into our country. Hard to believe, but the Democrats make up that list. They lean left, and they are the ones…
…get the SAVE America Act done. That's voter ID. It's proof of citizenship. It's so many other things. But basically—think of it: The Democrats don't…
And, by the way, the stock market today just hit another record. So your 401(k)s are higher than they've ever been. The stock market is…
…June 9, and I'm calling on you and urging you to get out and vote for Senator Lindsey Graham. He's outstanding. He's been at my…
…dead country a year and a half ago. Now we have the hottest country anywhere in the world, and we're going to make it even…
But, as you know, she's an "America-first" patriot. She's MAGA all the way. She always has been. She was the first person to endorse me…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-06-08:rally-tele · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-06-08:rally-tele · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP