Scott Bessent

Politics · VP & cabinetPersonTrump administrationMachine-attributedUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 13:06 UTC

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 401 word markets on Scott Bessent’s appearances since 2025, on 110 different words; most reliably said: “Inflation” (10 of 11).

History Wall

1–40 of 114, most settled first · page 1 of 2

Scott Bessent: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	May 28briefing	May 29keynote	Jun 3hearing	Jun 4hearing	Jun 24interview	Jun 26keynote	Aug 24conference	Sep 10speech	Sep 23interview	Oct 18latest	Last 10	Settled	Probability
Tariff	NSettled no: Tariff, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Tariff, May 29 keynote	YSettled yes: Tariff, Jun 3 hearing	YSettled yes: Tariff, Jun 4 hearing	YSettled yes: Tariff, Jun 24 interview	YSettled yes: Tariff, Jun 26 keynote	NSettled no: Tariff, Aug 24 conference	NSettled no: Tariff, Sep 10 speech	YSettled yes: Tariff, Sep 23 interview	YSettled yes: Tariff, Oct 18 episode	7/1070%	17/2471%	61%n=24 from settlement history
Stock Market	YSettled yes: Stock Market, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Stock Market, May 29 keynote	NSettled no: Stock Market, Jun 3 hearing	NSettled no: Stock Market, Jun 4 hearing	NSettled no: Stock Market, Jun 24 interview	YSettled yes: Stock Market, Jun 26 keynote	NSettled no: Stock Market, Aug 24 conference	NSettled no: Stock Market, Sep 10 speech	NSettled no: Stock Market, Sep 23 interview	NSettled no: Stock Market, Oct 18 episode	3/1030%	7/2330%	30%n=23 from settlement history
GDP	YSettled yes: GDP, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: GDP, May 29 keynote	YSettled yes: GDP, Jun 3 hearing	YSettled yes: GDP, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: GDP, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: GDP, Jun 26 keynote	NSettled no: GDP, Aug 24 conference	YSettled yes: GDP, Sep 10 speech	NSettled no: GDP, Sep 23 interview	NSettled no: GDP, Oct 18 episode	5/862%	9/1850%	42%n=18 from settlement history
AI / Artificial Intelligence	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 28 briefing	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 29 keynote	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 3 hearing	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 4 hearing	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 24 interview	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 26 keynote	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 10 speech	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 23 interview	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 18 episode	3/933%	5/1729%	33%n=17 from settlement history
China / Chinese	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, May 29 keynote	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, Jun 3 hearing	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, Jun 4 hearing	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, Jun 24 interview	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, Jun 26 keynote	NSettled no: China / Chinese, Aug 24 conference	NSettled no: China / Chinese, Sep 10 speech	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, Sep 23 interview	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, Oct 18 episode	8/1080%	11/1479%	65%n=14 from settlement history
Tax Cut	YSettled yes: Tax Cut, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Tax Cut, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Tax Cut, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Tax Cut, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Tax Cut, Jun 24 interview	YSettled yes: Tax Cut, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Tax Cut, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Tax Cut, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Tax Cut, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Tax Cut, Oct 18 episode	3/3100%	6/1346%	58%n=13 from settlement history
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency	NSettled no: Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency, May 29 keynote	YSettled yes: Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency, Jun 3 hearing	NSettled no: Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency, Jun 26 keynote	NSettled no: Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency, Aug 24 conference	NSettled no: Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency, Sep 10 speech	NSettled no: Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency, Sep 23 interview	NSettled no: Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency, Oct 18 episode	2/825%	3/1225%	29%n=12 from settlement history
Inflation	YSettled yes: Inflation, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Inflation, May 29 keynote	YSettled yes: Inflation, Jun 3 hearing	YSettled yes: Inflation, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Inflation, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Inflation, Jun 26 keynote	NSettled no: Inflation, Aug 24 conference	YSettled yes: Inflation, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Inflation, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Inflation, Oct 18 episode	5/683%	10/1191%	70%n=11 from settlement history
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	YSettled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 29 keynote	YSettled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 3 hearing	YSettled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 26 keynote	YSettled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 24 conference	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 10 speech	YSettled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 23 interview	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 18 episode	6/875%	9/1182%	57%n=11 from settlement history
Trump3+ times	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jun 4 hearing	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), Jun 24 interview	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), Jun 26 keynote	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), Aug 24 conference	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), Sep 10 speech	NSettled no: Trump (3+ times), Sep 23 interview	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), Oct 18 episode	7/888%	9/1090%	70%n=10 from settlement history
China	–Not listed: China, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: China, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: China, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: China, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: China, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: China, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: China, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: China, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: China, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: China, Oct 18 episode	–	7/1070%	55%n=10 from settlement history
Hormuz	YSettled yes: Hormuz, May 28 briefing	NSettled no: Hormuz, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Hormuz, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Hormuz, Jun 4 hearing	NSettled no: Hormuz, Jun 24 interview	NSettled no: Hormuz, Jun 26 keynote	NSettled no: Hormuz, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Hormuz, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Hormuz, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Hormuz, Oct 18 episode	1/520%	5/1050%	40%n=10 from settlement history
Democrat	YSettled yes: Democrat, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Democrat, May 29 keynote	YSettled yes: Democrat, Jun 3 hearing	YSettled yes: Democrat, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Democrat, Jun 24 interview	NSettled no: Democrat, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Democrat, Aug 24 conference	YSettled yes: Democrat, Sep 10 speech	NSettled no: Democrat, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Democrat, Oct 18 episode	5/771%	6/967%	52%n=9 from settlement history
Bidenevery time	YSettled yes: Biden, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Biden, May 29 keynote	YSettled yes: Biden, Jun 3 hearing	YSettled yes: Biden, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Biden, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Biden, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Biden, Aug 24 conference	YSettled yes: Biden, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Biden, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Biden, Oct 18 episode	5/5100%	7/7100%	75%n=7 from settlement history
Manufacture / Manufacturing	NSettled no: Manufacture / Manufacturing, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Manufacture / Manufacturing, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jun 24 interview	YSettled yes: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Aug 24 conference	YSettled yes: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Sep 10 speech	YSettled yes: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Oct 18 episode	4/580%	6/786%	70%n=7 from settlement history
Main Street	YSettled yes: Main Street, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Main Street, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Main Street, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Main Street, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Main Street, Jun 24 interview	YSettled yes: Main Street, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Main Street, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Main Street, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Main Street, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Main Street, Oct 18 episode	3/3100%	5/771%	68%n=7 from settlement history
Manufacturing	–Not listed: Manufacturing, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Manufacturing, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Manufacturing, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Manufacturing, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Manufacturing, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Manufacturing, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Manufacturing, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Manufacturing, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Manufacturing, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Manufacturing, Oct 18 episode	–	3/743%	48%n=7 from settlement history
Trump Account	YSettled yes: Trump Account, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Trump Account, May 29 keynote	YSettled yes: Trump Account, Jun 3 hearing	YSettled yes: Trump Account, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Trump Account, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Trump Account, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Trump Account, Aug 24 conference	YSettled yes: Trump Account, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Trump Account, Sep 23 interview	NSettled no: Trump Account, Oct 18 episode	5/683%	5/683%	56%n=6 from settlement history
Trump5+ times	–Not listed: Trump (5+ times), May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Trump (5+ times), May 29 keynote	YSettled yes: Trump (5+ times), Jun 3 hearing	YSettled yes: Trump (5+ times), Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Oct 18 episode	2/2100%	4/667%	64%n=6 from settlement history
National Security	–Not listed: National Security, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: National Security, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: National Security, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: National Security, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: National Security, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: National Security, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: National Security, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: National Security, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: National Security, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: National Security, Oct 18 episode	1/1100%	3/560%	62%n=5 from settlement history
Economic Fury	NSettled no: Economic Fury, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Economic Fury, May 29 keynote	YSettled yes: Economic Fury, Jun 3 hearing	NSettled no: Economic Fury, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Economic Fury, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Economic Fury, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Economic Fury, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Economic Fury, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Economic Fury, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Economic Fury, Oct 18 episode	2/450%	2/540%	48%n=5 from settlement history
Recession	–Not listed: Recession, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Recession, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Recession, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Recession, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Recession, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Recession, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Recession, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Recession, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Recession, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Recession, Oct 18 episode	–	1/520%	40%n=5 from settlement history
Nuclearevery time	YSettled yes: Nuclear, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Nuclear, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 26 keynote	YSettled yes: Nuclear, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Nuclear, Sep 10 speech	YSettled yes: Nuclear, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Nuclear, Oct 18 episode	4/4100%	4/4100%	70%n=4 from settlement history
Fed	–Not listed: Fed, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Fed, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Fed, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Fed, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Fed, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Fed, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Fed, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Fed, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Fed, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Fed, Oct 18 episode	–	3/475%	61%n=4 from settlement history
Iran / Iranian	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Aug 24 conference	NSettled no: Iran / Iranian, Sep 10 speech	YSettled yes: Iran / Iranian, Sep 23 interview	YSettled yes: Iran / Iranian, Oct 18 episode	2/367%	3/475%	60%n=4 from settlement history
Warsh	YSettled yes: Warsh, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Warsh, May 29 keynote	NSettled no: Warsh, Jun 3 hearing	NSettled no: Warsh, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Warsh, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Warsh, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Warsh, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Warsh, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Warsh, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Warsh, Oct 18 episode	2/450%	2/450%	47%n=4 from settlement history
America First	NSettled no: America First, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: America First, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: America First, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: America First, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: America First, Jun 24 interview	NSettled no: America First, Jun 26 keynote	NSettled no: America First, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: America First, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: America First, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: America First, Oct 18 episode	1/425%	1/425%	34%n=4 from settlement history
Tax Cut / Cut Tax	–Not listed: Tax Cut / Cut Tax, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Tax Cut / Cut Tax, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Tax Cut / Cut Tax, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Tax Cut / Cut Tax, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Tax Cut / Cut Tax, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Tax Cut / Cut Tax, Jun 26 keynote	NSettled no: Tax Cut / Cut Tax, Aug 24 conference	YSettled yes: Tax Cut / Cut Tax, Sep 10 speech	NSettled no: Tax Cut / Cut Tax, Sep 23 interview	NSettled no: Tax Cut / Cut Tax, Oct 18 episode	1/425%	1/425%	33%n=4 from settlement history
Deficit	–Not listed: Deficit, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Deficit, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Deficit, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Deficit, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Deficit, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Deficit, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Deficit, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Deficit, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Deficit, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Deficit, Oct 18 episode	–	1/425%	40%n=4 from settlement history
Deregulation	–Not listed: Deregulation, May 28 briefing	NSettled no: Deregulation, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Deregulation, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Deregulation, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Deregulation, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Deregulation, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Deregulation, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Deregulation, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Deregulation, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Deregulation, Oct 18 episode	0/10%	1/425%	45%n=4 from settlement history
Innovation	–Not listed: Innovation, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Innovation, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Innovation, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Innovation, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Innovation, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Innovation, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Innovation, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Innovation, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Innovation, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Innovation, Oct 18 episode	–	1/425%	43%n=4 from settlement history
Economy / Economic	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Oct 18 episode	–	3/3100%	66%n=3 from settlement history
Fed / Federal Reserve	–Not listed: Fed / Federal Reserve, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Fed / Federal Reserve, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Fed / Federal Reserve, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Fed / Federal Reserve, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Fed / Federal Reserve, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Fed / Federal Reserve, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Fed / Federal Reserve, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Fed / Federal Reserve, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Fed / Federal Reserve, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Fed / Federal Reserve, Oct 18 episode	–	3/3100%	68%n=3 from settlement history
Oil	–Not listed: Oil, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Oil, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Oil, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Oil, Jun 4 hearing	YSettled yes: Oil, Jun 24 interview	YSettled yes: Oil, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Oil, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Oil, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Oil, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Oil, Oct 18 episode	2/2100%	3/3100%	72%n=3 from settlement history
Shutdown / Shut Down	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 18 episode	–	2/367%	51%n=3 from settlement history
Ceasefire	NSettled no: Ceasefire, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Ceasefire, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Jun 26 keynote	NSettled no: Ceasefire, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Oct 18 episode	1/333%	1/333%	38%n=3 from settlement history
Fraud	–Not listed: Fraud, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Fraud, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Fraud, Jun 3 hearing	YSettled yes: Fraud, Jun 4 hearing	NSettled no: Fraud, Jun 24 interview	NSettled no: Fraud, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Fraud, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Fraud, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Fraud, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Fraud, Oct 18 episode	1/333%	1/333%	46%n=3 from settlement history
Middle Class	–Not listed: Middle Class, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Middle Class, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Middle Class, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Middle Class, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Middle Class, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Middle Class, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Middle Class, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Middle Class, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Middle Class, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Middle Class, Oct 18 episode	–	1/333%	50%n=3 from settlement history
Rare Earth / Mineral	–Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, May 28 briefing	YSettled yes: Rare Earth / Mineral, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Jun 4 hearing	NSettled no: Rare Earth / Mineral, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Aug 24 conference	–Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Oct 18 episode	1/250%	1/333%	40%n=3 from settlement history
Productivity	–Not listed: Productivity, May 28 briefing	–Not listed: Productivity, May 29 keynote	–Not listed: Productivity, Jun 3 hearing	–Not listed: Productivity, Jun 4 hearing	–Not listed: Productivity, Jun 24 interview	–Not listed: Productivity, Jun 26 keynote	–Not listed: Productivity, Aug 24 conference	NSettled no: Productivity, Sep 10 speech	–Not listed: Productivity, Sep 23 interview	–Not listed: Productivity, Oct 18 episode	0/10%	1/333%	41%n=3 from settlement history

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

More words (74 left)

Citeparrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/scott-bessent · words: /api/v1/history?entity=scott-bessent · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP