Will Scott Bessent say “Stock Market”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Stock Market” at 7 of 23 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2025 (30%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=23, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

30%from settlement history only · n=23counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Scott Bessent

Stock Market

Probability
30% · n=23
Settled
7/23 (30%)
Last 3 transcripts
said in 1 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Scott BessentspeakerSecretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent Briefs Members of the Media, May 28, 2026 · May 28, 2026 · 25:16In transcript

…have more confidence, or it could be something else. Because, for instance, stock market gains or 401(k) gains might not show up in savings so…

What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Scott Bessent say during Special Report with Bret Baier? · settled no

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What will Scott Bessent say during RNC Midterm Convention? · settled no

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What will Scott Bessent say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Faith & Freedom Coalition's Conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Scott Bessent say during CNBC: Squawk Box? · settled no

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What will Scott Bessent say during his Committee on Ways & Means hearing? · settled no

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Treasury Budget Hearing? · settled no

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Reagan National Economic Forum? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Scott Bessent say during the White House Press Briefing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 23 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 18, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo–
Sep 23, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo–
Sep 10, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo–
Aug 24, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo–
Jun 26, 2026Stock MarketKalshiYes–
Jun 24, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo–
Jun 4, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo–
Jun 3, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo–
May 29, 2026Stock MarketKalshiYes–
May 28, 2026Stock MarketKalshiYes–
May 14, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo–
Apr 15, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo0
Apr 15, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo–
Mar 22, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo–
Mar 7, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo–
Feb 21, 2026Stock MarketKalshiYes–
Feb 14, 2026Stock MarketKalshiYes–
Jan 22, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo–
Jan 21, 2026Stock MarketKalshiNo–
Dec 8, 2025Stock MarketKalshiYes–
Dec 4, 2025Stock MarketKalshiNo–
Oct 16, 2025Stock MarketKalshiYes–
Mar 15, 2025Stock marketKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Scott Bessent say “Stock Market”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Stock Market” at 7 of 23 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2025 (30%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026.
What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Stock Market” next time?
30%, from settlement history (n=23). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Stock Market’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/stock-market (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=stock%20market · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP