Will Scott Bessent say “Innovation”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Innovation” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (25%), most recently on Jan 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 press briefings we have transcripts for (Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Innovation
- Probability
- 43% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 3 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Americans have no exposure to equities. They don't share in the great innovation, the machine that is the American economy, our great capital markets, which…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Innovation |  Kalshi | No |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Innovation | Kalshi | Yes |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Innovation | Kalshi | No |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Innovation | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Innovation”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Innovation” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (25%), most recently on Jan 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Innovation” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Innovation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/innovation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=innovation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP