Will Scott Bessent say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Trump” 3+ times at 9 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 22, 2026 (90%), most recently on Oct 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 70% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceScott Bessent
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 70% · n=10
- Settled
- 9/10 (90%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…don't want anyone yelling reclaim my time. So, let's start out with Trump accounts. Trump accounts, I believe, are the most important benefit for young…
…this calendar year. So with that, we have also seen with the Trump Accounts, we have had five million families file for Trump Accounts for…
…few weeks. Many of them have already come to Washington. What President Trump is referring to is the ability for tariff revenue to give income…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | No | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | |
| May 29, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | |
| May 28, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | |
| May 14, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Void (did not qualify) | |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Trump” 3+ times at 9 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 22, 2026 (90%), most recently on Oct 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 70%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP