Will Scott Bessent say “GDP”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “GDP” at 9 of 18 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=18, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

42%from settlement history only · n=18counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Scott Bessent

GDP

Probability
42% · n=18
Settled
9/18 (50%)
Last 3 transcripts
said in 1 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Scott BessentspeakerSecretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent Briefs Members of the Media, May 28, 2026 · May 28, 2026 · 1:31In transcript

…-- every Democrat voted against those programs. We've had sustained and resilient GDP growth. Real GDP has risen 2.6 percent over the past four quarters.…

Kelly LoefflerspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt, Scott Bessent, and Kelly Loeffler Brief Members of the Media · Apr 15, 2026 · 5:58In transcript

…represent 99% of all businesses and they drive about half of our GDP. The Working Family Tax Cuts are putting money back into the pockets…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Scott Bessent say during Special Report with Bret Baier? · settled no

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What will Scott Bessent say during RNC Midterm Convention? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Scott Bessent say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Faith & Freedom Coalition's Conference? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during CNBC: Squawk Box? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during his Committee on Ways & Means hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Scott Bessent say during the Treasury Budget Hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Scott Bessent say during the Reagan National Economic Forum? · settled yes

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What will Scott Bessent say during the White House Press Briefing? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 18 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 18, 2026GDPKalshiNo–
Sep 23, 2026GDPKalshiNo–
Sep 10, 2026GDPKalshiYes–
Aug 24, 2026GDPKalshiNo–
Jun 4, 2026GDPKalshiYes–
Jun 3, 2026GDPKalshiYes–
May 29, 2026GDPKalshiYes–
May 28, 2026GDPKalshiYes–
Apr 22, 2026GDPKalshiNo–
Apr 15, 2026GDPKalshiNo0
Apr 15, 2026GDPKalshiYes–
Mar 22, 2026GDPKalshiNo–
Mar 7, 2026GDPKalshiNo–
Feb 21, 2026GDPKalshiYes–
Feb 14, 2026GDPKalshiYes–
Jan 22, 2026GDPKalshiNo–
Jan 21, 2026GDPKalshiYes–
Dec 4, 2025GDPKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Scott Bessent say “GDP”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “GDP” at 9 of 18 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
What is the probability Scott Bessent says “GDP” next time?
42%, from settlement history (n=18). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘GDP’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/gdp (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=gdp · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP