Will Scott Bessent say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 5 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (29%), most recently on Sep 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=17, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no yes no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceScott Bessent
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 33% · n=17
- Settled
- 5/17 (29%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…maximum calculus. What we want to do -- the US is the AI leader in the world; we're an AI superpower. China is second, they…
…from Apple in US-based manufacturing and training, $500 billion from NVIDIA in AI infrastructure, $100 billion from TSMC in US-based chips manufacturing, and the $500…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 18 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Sep 23, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | – | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Jun 24, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | – | |
| Jun 4, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Jun 3, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| May 29, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| May 28, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | – | |
| May 14, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | – | |
| Apr 26, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Void (did not qualify) | – | |
| Apr 22, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Apr 15, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | |
| Apr 15, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | – | |
| Mar 22, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 5 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (29%), most recently on Sep 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=17). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP