Will Scott Bessent say “Warsh”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Warsh” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 28, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

47%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Scott Bessent

Warsh

Probability
47% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last 3 transcripts
said in 2 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Scott BessentspeakerSecretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent Briefs Members of the Media, May 28, 2026 · May 28, 2026 · 13:05In transcript

…back to substantial disinflation. But most importantly, I think we've got the Warsh Fed now. It's a new day at the Fed. The Treasury secretary…

Scott BessentspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt, Scott Bessent, and Kelly Loeffler Brief Members of the Media · Apr 15, 2026 · 18:26In transcript

…that the process that we have laid out in terms of Kevin Warsh becoming the next Fed chair, he's going to have the hearing on…

What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during Special Report with Bret Baier? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during RNC Midterm Convention? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Faith & Freedom Coalition's Conference? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during CNBC: Squawk Box? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during his Committee on Ways & Means hearing? · settled no

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Treasury Budget Hearing? · settled no

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Reagan National Economic Forum? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Scott Bessent say during the White House Press Briefing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 4, 2026WarshKalshiNo
Jun 3, 2026WarshKalshiNo
May 29, 2026WarshKalshiYes
May 28, 2026WarshKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Scott Bessent say “Warsh”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Warsh” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 28, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 29, 2026.
What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Warsh” next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Warsh’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/warsh (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=warsh · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP