Will Scott Bessent say “Tax Cut / Cut Tax”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Tax Cut / Cut Tax” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Tax Cut / Cut Tax
- Probability
- 33% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of you to go to trumpaccount.gov to sign up. We had an historic tax filing season. We passed the largest tax cuts in American history.
…American people. Thanks to promises made, promises kept through the Working Families Tax Cuts, the president has delivered the record refunds to the American people.…
…is moving forward. It is going to give permanence to the 2017 Tax Cuts and Job Act, which, back to the question on certainty, it…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tax Cut / Cut Tax |  Kalshi | No |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Tax Cut / Cut Tax | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Tax Cut / Cut Tax | Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Tax Cut / Cut Tax | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Tax Cut / Cut Tax”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Tax Cut / Cut Tax” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Tax Cut / Cut Tax” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Tax Cut / Cut Tax’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/cut-tax-or-tax-cut (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=cut%20tax%20%2F%20tax%20cut · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP