Will Scott Bessent say “Economy / Economic”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Economy / Economic” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 press briefings we have transcripts for (Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Economy / Economic
- Probability
- 66% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 3 press briefings
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…don't share in the great innovation, the machine that is the American economy, our great capital markets, which drives the -- our prosperity. So, if…
…in person and on the phone. And as we can see, the economy was very strong. We are seeing growth across the board in all…
Yep. So it's really a three-legged stool in the economic policy. It's trade, its tax, and its deregulation. So we are in the midst of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Economy / Economic |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | Yes |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Economy / Economic”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Economy / Economic” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Economy / Economic” next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Economy / Economic’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/economic-or-economy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=economic%20%2F%20economy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP